Predicting stock price and spread movements from news




Wistbacka Pontus, Rönnqvist Samuel, Vozian Katia, Sagade Satchit

Bui Tung X

Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences

PublisherIEEE Computer Society

2021

Proceedings of the 54th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences

Proceedings of the Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences

1593

1600

978-0-9981331-4-0

2572-6862

2572-6862

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.24251/HICSS.2021.192

http://hdl.handle.net/10125/70804

https://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/66564290



We explore several ways of using news articles and financial data to train neural network machine learning models to predict shock events in high-frequency market data, and aggregated shock episodes. We investigate the use of price movements in this context, and separately at a daily interval as well. We describe in detail how training sets are created from our data sources and how our machine learning models are trained. We find that pairing company-related news text with events or movements in financial time series proves less straight-forward than the literature would indicate. We discuss possible reasons for negative results, especially relating to the combination of minute-level news and millisecond-level market data.


Last updated on 2024-26-11 at 15:44