A4 Refereed article in a conference publication

Predicting stock price and spread movements from news




AuthorsWistbacka Pontus, Rönnqvist Samuel, Vozian Katia, Sagade Satchit

EditorsBui Tung X

Conference nameHawaii International Conference on System Sciences

PublisherIEEE Computer Society

Publication year2021

Book title Proceedings of the 54th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences

Journal name in sourceProceedings of the Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences

First page 1593

Last page1600

ISBN978-0-9981331-4-0

ISSN2572-6862

eISSN2572-6862

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.24251/HICSS.2021.192

Web address http://hdl.handle.net/10125/70804

Self-archived copy’s web addresshttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/66564290


Abstract

We explore several ways of using news articles and financial data to train neural network machine learning models to predict shock events in high-frequency market data, and aggregated shock episodes. We investigate the use of price movements in this context, and separately at a daily interval as well. We describe in detail how training sets are created from our data sources and how our machine learning models are trained. We find that pairing company-related news text with events or movements in financial time series proves less straight-forward than the literature would indicate. We discuss possible reasons for negative results, especially relating to the combination of minute-level news and millisecond-level market data.


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Last updated on 2024-26-11 at 15:44