A4 Refereed article in a conference publication
Predicting stock price and spread movements from news
Authors: Wistbacka Pontus, Rönnqvist Samuel, Vozian Katia, Sagade Satchit
Editors: Bui Tung X
Conference name: Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences
Publisher: IEEE Computer Society
Publication year: 2021
Book title : Proceedings of the 54th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences
Journal name in source: Proceedings of the Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences
First page : 1593
Last page: 1600
ISBN: 978-0-9981331-4-0
ISSN: 2572-6862
eISSN: 2572-6862
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24251/HICSS.2021.192
Web address : http://hdl.handle.net/10125/70804
Self-archived copy’s web address: https://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/66564290
We explore several ways of using news articles and financial data to train neural network machine learning models to predict shock events in high-frequency market data, and aggregated shock episodes. We investigate the use of price movements in this context, and separately at a daily interval as well. We describe in detail how training sets are created from our data sources and how our machine learning models are trained. We find that pairing company-related news text with events or movements in financial time series proves less straight-forward than the literature would indicate. We discuss possible reasons for negative results, especially relating to the combination of minute-level news and millisecond-level market data.
Downloadable publication This is an electronic reprint of the original article. |