Kari Auranen
Ph.D. (biometry, Helsinki University, 1999)
Department of Mathematics and Statistics kajuaur@utu.fi +358 29 450 4320 +358 50 350 6920 Vesilinnantie 5 Turku |
statistical analysis of cohort studies; evaluation of the effects of vaccination and infection mitigation; mathematical models of infection transmission
statistical analysis of infectious disease data; evaluation of population-level effects of vaccination; endpoints in vaccine trials.
I am currently a Professor of Statistics at the Department of Mathematics and Statistics and the Department of Clinical Medicine of the University of Turku (Finland). Before moving to Turku, I worked for almost 20 years on vaccination-related research questions at the Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare.
My own research interests include statistical modelling and analysis of infectious disease data, estimation of vaccine efficacy from trial and field data, dynamics of pneumococcal carriage and its relation to disease, and the effects of vaccination on the epidemiology of the pneumococcus. I have a special interest in Bayesian analysis of incompletely observed infectious disease data and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods applied to deal with the problem. My recent publications in the field of infectious disease data include a survey study of the intensity of social contacts and an analysis of the effectiveness of case isolation and quarantine during the early phase of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Finland. Through my students, I have recently become involved in the analysis of causal mediation in cohort and microbiome studies.
My teaching revolves around various topics related to biostatistics, with emphasis on real-life data analysis and statistical modelling. My recent lecture courses include "Survival analysis", "Design of experiments" and "Statistical methods in epidemiology".
- Dentofacial Malocclusion in Neurofibromatosis 1 in Finland (2025)
- American Journal of Medical Genetics Part A
- Duration of ADHD medication treatment among Finnish children and adolescents - a nationwide register study (2025)
- European Child and Adolescent Psychiatry
- Elementary methods provide more replicable results in microbial differential abundance analysis (2025)
- Briefings in Bioinformatics
- Hospital Visits Associated With Oral Infections in Patients With Neurofibromatosis Type 1: A Register-Based Analysis (2025)
- American Journal of Medical Genetics Part A
- Increasing trend of antimicrobial resistance among methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus strains in Southwest Finland, 2007–2016: An analysis of shifting strain dynamics and emerging risk factors (2025)
- Journal of Global Antimicrobial Resistance
- Quantifying the direct and indirect components of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness during the Delta variant era (2025)
- Epidemiology and Infection
- Development of Real-Time Surveillance for Serious Adverse Events in a Pragmatic Clinical Trial Using National Registers in Finland (2024)
- Clinical Epidemiology
- Hypertension in NF1: A closer look at the primacy of essential hypertension versus secondary causes (2024)
- Molecular Genetics and Genomic Medicine
- Hypothesis-driven mediation analysis for compositional data: an application to gut microbiome (2024)
- Biostatistics & Epidemiology
- Non-COVID-19 hospitalisation as a negative control outcome in COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness studies (2024)
- Lancet Infectious Diseases
- Relative effectiveness of bivalent boosters against severe COVID-19 outcomes among people aged ≥ 65 years in Finland, September 2022 to August 2023 (2024)
- Eurosurveillance
- Efficacy and effectiveness of case isolation and quarantine during a growing phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Finland (2023)
- Scientific Reports
- Presence of Streptococcus pyogenes in the throat in invasive Group A Streptococcal disease: a prospective two-year study in two health districts, Finland (2023)
- Infectious Diseases
- Underreporting of SARS-CoV-2 infections during the first wave of the 2020 COVID-19 epidemic in Finland-Bayesian inference based on a series of serological surveys (2023)
- PLoS ONE
- Approximate likelihood-based estimation method of multiple-type pathogen interactions: An application to longitudinal pneumococcal carriage data (2022)
- Statistics in Medicine
- Effects of physical activity intervention on 24-h movement behaviors: a compositional data analysis (2022)
- Scientific Reports
- Impact of Selected Meteorological Factors on COVID-19 Incidence in Southern Finland during 2020-2021 (2022)
- International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
- Predictors of hospitalisation and death due to SARS-CoV-2 infection in Finland: A population-based register study with implications to vaccinations (2022)
- Vaccine
- Whole genome sequencing reveals new links between spa t172/CC59 methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus cases in low-endemicity region of Southwest Finland, 2007‒2016 (2022)
- Scientific Reports
- COVID-19-tutkimuskatsaus 10/2021 (2021) Sironen Tarja, Pimenoff Ville, Auranen Kari, Leino Tuija, Karvonen Sakari, Toivanen Otto, Ylöstalo Hanna, Vainikainen Mari-Pauliina, Mäkinen Saku, Arponen Anni, Heinikoski Saila, Limnéll Jarno, Salo Ahti