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Discovering data‐driven microbial growth models with symbolic regression;




TekijätSun, T. Anthony; Kičiatovas, Dovydas; Aapalampi, Inga‐Katariina; Kuosmanen, Teemu; Hiltunen, Teppo; Mustonen, Ville

KustantajaWiley

Julkaisuvuosi2026

Lehti: Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Vuosikerta17

Numero7

Aloitussivu1951

Lopetussivu2252

eISSN2041-210X

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210x.70335

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Julkaisukanavan avoimuus Kokonaan avoin julkaisukanava

Verkko-osoitehttps://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210x.70335

Rinnakkaistallenteen osoitehttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/527158123

Rinnakkaistallenteen lisenssiCC BY

Rinnakkaistallennetun julkaisun versioKustantajan versio


Tiivistelmä

1. Connecting mathematical models with empirically measured microbial growth has remained challenging, as numerous competing models based on different theoretical approaches can fit observations. Therefore, we develop a method to automatically propose growth models from microbial data alone. We validate this approach using an available dataset of E. coli grown on known resources, and study 14 species across various concentrations of a rich medium.
2. The inherently interpretable approach of symbolic regression infers explicit dynamical models directly from growth data. Using symbolic regression natively, does not favour biologically interpretable models, but we find cumulative population gain to be a more informative machine learning feature than population size.
3. Random Forest machine learning allows us to relate this finding to the approximation of a constant-rate per capita resource consumption. This suggests that the area under the growth curve (AUC) measured in routine experiments provides information on the effective resource dynamics governing microbial growth. Finally, we use theoretical insights to inform the symbolic regression algorithm and favour biologically interpretable models.
4. Overall, we found that balancing between data fit, parsimony and biological relevance favoured both the simplest, linear approximation and models based on Monod dynamics, with either one or two underlying resources. Therefore, our approach to read growth laws off of microbial batch cultures provides insights on data-driven modelling.


Ladattava julkaisu

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Julkaisussa olevat rahoitustiedot
The authors wish to thank Frédéric Guillaume, the reviewers and associate editors, for comments on successive versions of the manuscript, as well as CSC—IT Center for Science, Finland, for computational resources. This work was in part supported by Research Council of Finland (345829, 346128 and 364234) to Ville Mustonen and Teppo Hiltunen. Open access publishing facilitated by Helsingin yliopisto, as part of the Wiley - FinELib agreement.


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