Factors associated with all-cause mortality and morbidity of motorcycle crash-related neurological and musculoskeletal injuries in Uganda: the MOTOR cluster randomised trial ancillary study




Lule, Herman; Mugerwa, Micheal; Abio, Anne; Oguttu, Benson; Kakeeto, Andrew; Asiimwe, Daniel; Lekuya, Hervé Monka; Ssebuufu, Robinson; Kyamanywa, Patrick; Bärnighausen, Till; Wilson, Michael L.; Posti, Jussi P.

PublisherBMJ

2026

 Injury Prevention

1353-8047

1475-5785

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1136/ip-2025-045737

https://doi.org/10.1136/ip-2025-045737

https://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/508432050



Introduction 

This study examined the factors linked to all-cause mortality and morbidity from neurological and musculoskeletal injuries during motorcycle accidents in Uganda.

Methods 

The study was part of a two-armed, parallel, multi-period, cluster-randomised controlled trial of 1003 motorcycle crash victims. Morbidity was assessed using various scoring systems, and mixed effects regression models were employed for analysis.

Results 

Ninety-day all-cause mortality was 9.2% (82/887). Factors associated with mortality included referral-to-dispatch >1 hour (OR 4.215 (1.802–9.858), p=0.001), Kampala Trauma Score (KTS) ≤6 (OR 7.696 (1.932–30.653), p=0.004), GCS 9–12 (OR 3.432 (1.194–9.870), p=0.022), GCS ≤8 (OR 6.919 (2.212–21.645), p=0.001), intra-axial lesions (OR 78.647 (9.871–626.587), p<0.001), extra-axial lesions (OR 11.933 (1.386–102.750), p=0.024), skull fracture (OR 11.366, (1.197–107.977), p=0.034) and craniotomy (OR 0.260 (0.095–0.706), p=0.008).

A percentage of 14.5% had unfavourable Glasgow Outcome Scale (1–3); associated factors included increasing age (OR 1.02 (1.013–1.045, p<.001), multiple injuries (OR 4.559 (1.185–17.531), p=0.027), KTS 7-8 (OR 2.755 (1.285–5.906), p=0.009), KTS ≤6 (OR 7.551 (2.815–20.255), p=0.001), GCS 9-12 (OR 4.07 (1.901–8.719), p=0.001), GCS ≤8 (OR 13.779 (5.643–33.645), p<0.001) and craniotomy (OR 0.149 (0.075–0.295), p<0.001).

Factors associated with unfavourable patient-reported musculoskeletal outcomes included being married (OR 1.984 (1.322–2.976), p=0.001), multiple injuries (OR 1.762 (1.001–3.100), p=0.049) and enrolment after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic (OR 2.095 (1.199–3.659), p=0.009].

Conclusions 

The key determinants of mortality and adverse neurological and musculoskeletal injury outcomes observed in this study are essential for establishing core outcome sets in future research and predictive models.


The study was supported through funding and fellowships to HL provided by the University of Turku Graduate School, Turku University Hospital (TYKS) Foundation, TYKS Neurocenter and the Center for Health Equity in Surgery and Anaesthesia (CHESA) at the University of California San Francisco (UCSF), as well as through grants to JPP from the Research Council of Finland and Sigrid Jusélius Foundation. The funders did not play any role in the design, execution or reporting of the research findings.


Last updated on 22/01/2026 01:22:57 PM