A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

Factors associated with all-cause mortality and morbidity of motorcycle crash-related neurological and musculoskeletal injuries in Uganda: the MOTOR cluster randomised trial ancillary study




AuthorsLule, Herman; Mugerwa, Micheal; Abio, Anne; Oguttu, Benson; Kakeeto, Andrew; Asiimwe, Daniel; Lekuya, Hervé Monka; Ssebuufu, Robinson; Kyamanywa, Patrick; Bärnighausen, Till; Wilson, Michael L.; Posti, Jussi P.

PublisherBMJ

Publication year2026

Journal: Injury Prevention

ISSN1353-8047

eISSN1475-5785

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1136/ip-2025-045737

Publication's open availability at the time of reportingOpen Access

Publication channel's open availability Partially Open Access publication channel

Web address https://doi.org/10.1136/ip-2025-045737

Self-archived copy’s web addresshttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/508432050

Self-archived copy's licenceCC BY NC

Self-archived copy's versionPublisher`s PDF


Abstract

Introduction 

This study examined the factors linked to all-cause mortality and morbidity from neurological and musculoskeletal injuries during motorcycle accidents in Uganda.

Methods 

The study was part of a two-armed, parallel, multi-period, cluster-randomised controlled trial of 1003 motorcycle crash victims. Morbidity was assessed using various scoring systems, and mixed effects regression models were employed for analysis.

Results 

Ninety-day all-cause mortality was 9.2% (82/887). Factors associated with mortality included referral-to-dispatch >1 hour (OR 4.215 (1.802–9.858), p=0.001), Kampala Trauma Score (KTS) ≤6 (OR 7.696 (1.932–30.653), p=0.004), GCS 9–12 (OR 3.432 (1.194–9.870), p=0.022), GCS ≤8 (OR 6.919 (2.212–21.645), p=0.001), intra-axial lesions (OR 78.647 (9.871–626.587), p<0.001), extra-axial lesions (OR 11.933 (1.386–102.750), p=0.024), skull fracture (OR 11.366, (1.197–107.977), p=0.034) and craniotomy (OR 0.260 (0.095–0.706), p=0.008).

A percentage of 14.5% had unfavourable Glasgow Outcome Scale (1–3); associated factors included increasing age (OR 1.02 (1.013–1.045, p<.001), multiple injuries (OR 4.559 (1.185–17.531), p=0.027), KTS 7-8 (OR 2.755 (1.285–5.906), p=0.009), KTS ≤6 (OR 7.551 (2.815–20.255), p=0.001), GCS 9-12 (OR 4.07 (1.901–8.719), p=0.001), GCS ≤8 (OR 13.779 (5.643–33.645), p<0.001) and craniotomy (OR 0.149 (0.075–0.295), p<0.001).

Factors associated with unfavourable patient-reported musculoskeletal outcomes included being married (OR 1.984 (1.322–2.976), p=0.001), multiple injuries (OR 1.762 (1.001–3.100), p=0.049) and enrolment after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic (OR 2.095 (1.199–3.659), p=0.009].

Conclusions 

The key determinants of mortality and adverse neurological and musculoskeletal injury outcomes observed in this study are essential for establishing core outcome sets in future research and predictive models.


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Funding information in the publication
The study was supported through funding and fellowships to HL provided by the University of Turku Graduate School, Turku University Hospital (TYKS) Foundation, TYKS Neurocenter and the Center for Health Equity in Surgery and Anaesthesia (CHESA) at the University of California San Francisco (UCSF), as well as through grants to JPP from the Research Council of Finland and Sigrid Jusélius Foundation. The funders did not play any role in the design, execution or reporting of the research findings.


Last updated on 22/01/2026 01:22:57 PM