D1 Article in a professional journal
Future uncertainties, emergence and context : On interface of strategic foresight and intelligence studies
Authors: Ahlqvist, Toni
Publisher: Centrum Balticum
Publication year: 2026
Journal: Baltic Rim Economies
Issue: 1/2026
eISSN: 1459-9759
Publication's open availability at the time of reporting: Open Access
Publication channel's open availability : Open Access publication channel
Web address : https://www.centrumbalticum.org/en/publications/baltic_rim_economies/baltic_rim_economies_1_2026_-_intelligence_and_foresight/toni_ahlqvist_future_uncertainties_emergence_and_context_on_interface_of_strategic_foresight_and_intelligence_studies
In this brief essay I chart a selected interface between the fields of strategic foresight and intelligence studies. I view these fields through a lens of future uncertainties and argue that both of these fields need to cope with varied levels of uncertainty in a context, be it a set of future pathways or other substance matter. I argue that in both of these fields it is crucial to understand two related aspects of future uncertainties: 1) horizon of uncertainty and 2) emergence in a context.