D1 Artikkeli ammattilehdessä

Future uncertainties, emergence and context : On interface of strategic foresight and intelligence studies




TekijätAhlqvist, Toni

KustantajaCentrum Balticum

Julkaisuvuosi2026

Lehti: Baltic Rim Economies

Numero1/2026

eISSN1459-9759

Julkaisun avoimuus kirjaamishetkelläAvoimesti saatavilla

Julkaisukanavan avoimuus Kokonaan avoin julkaisukanava

Verkko-osoitehttps://www.centrumbalticum.org/en/publications/baltic_rim_economies/baltic_rim_economies_1_2026_-_intelligence_and_foresight/toni_ahlqvist_future_uncertainties_emergence_and_context_on_interface_of_strategic_foresight_and_intelligence_studies


Tiivistelmä

In this brief essay I chart a selected interface between the fields of strategic foresight and intelligence studies. I view these fields through a lens of future uncertainties and argue that both of these fields need to cope with varied levels of uncertainty in a context, be it a set of future pathways or other substance matter. I argue that in both of these fields it is crucial to understand two related aspects of future uncertainties: 1) horizon of uncertainty and 2) emergence in a context.



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