A4 Vertaisarvioitu artikkeli konferenssijulkaisussa

Causal Search in Structural Vector Autoregressive Models




TekijätAlessio Moneta,Nadine Chlass,Patrik Hoyer, Doris Entner

ToimittajaFlorin Popescu,Isabelle Guyon

Konferenssin vakiintunut nimiNeural Information Processing Systems (NIPS) Mini-Symposium on Causality in Time Series

Julkaisuvuosi2011

Kokoomateoksen nimiJMLR: Workshop and Conference Proceedings 12: Causality in Time Series

ISSN1938-7228

Verkko-osoitehttp://proceedings.mlr.press/v12/moneta11/moneta11.pdf


Tiivistelmä

This paper reviews a class of methods to perform causal inference in the framework of a structural vector autoregressive model. We consider three different settings. In the first setting, the underlying system is linear with normal disturbances and the structural model is identified by exploiting the information incorporated in the partial correlations of the estimated ressiduals. Zero partial correlations are used as input of a search algorithm formalized via graphical causal models. In the second, semi-parametric setting the underlying system is linear with nongaussian disturbances. In this case, the structural vector autoregressive model is identified through a search procedure based on independent component analysis. Finally, we explore the possibility of causal search in a nonparametric setting by studying the performance of conditional independence tests based on kernel density estimations.   



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