A4 Refereed article in a conference publication

Causal Search in Structural Vector Autoregressive Models




AuthorsAlessio Moneta,Nadine Chlass,Patrik Hoyer, Doris Entner

EditorsFlorin Popescu,Isabelle Guyon

Conference nameNeural Information Processing Systems (NIPS) Mini-Symposium on Causality in Time Series

Publication year2011

Book title JMLR: Workshop and Conference Proceedings 12: Causality in Time Series

ISSN1938-7228

Web address http://proceedings.mlr.press/v12/moneta11/moneta11.pdf


Abstract

This paper reviews a class of methods to perform causal inference in the framework of a structural vector autoregressive model. We consider three different settings. In the first setting, the underlying system is linear with normal disturbances and the structural model is identified by exploiting the information incorporated in the partial correlations of the estimated ressiduals. Zero partial correlations are used as input of a search algorithm formalized via graphical causal models. In the second, semi-parametric setting the underlying system is linear with nongaussian disturbances. In this case, the structural vector autoregressive model is identified through a search procedure based on independent component analysis. Finally, we explore the possibility of causal search in a nonparametric setting by studying the performance of conditional independence tests based on kernel density estimations.   



Last updated on 26/11/2024 07:40:55 PM