Government debt, European Institutions and fiscal rules: a synthetic control approach




Kraemer Robert, Lehtimäki Jonne

PublisherSpringer

2023

International Tax and Public Finance

1573-6970

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10797-023-09791-z

https://doi.org/10.1007/s10797-023-09791-z

https://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/180585587



Public debt and its development are key questions of public sector economics and fiscal policy. This paper uses the Synthetic Control Method to study how different large-scale steps of European integration and the establishment of the EU fiscal framework have affected government debt in EU Member States. The results point to a notable debt-restricting effect of EU membership and the introduction of the Stability and Growth Pact for a large majority of the studied country groupings as well as for individual countries. Outside of a few individual countries, the actual government debt levels are substantially lower than in the synthetic alternatives.


Last updated on 2025-27-03 at 21:53