A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

Government debt, European Institutions and fiscal rules: a synthetic control approach




AuthorsKraemer Robert, Lehtimäki Jonne

PublisherSpringer

Publication year2023

JournalInternational Tax and Public Finance

eISSN1573-6970

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10797-023-09791-z

Web address https://doi.org/10.1007/s10797-023-09791-z

Self-archived copy’s web addresshttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/180585587


Abstract

Public debt and its development are key questions of public sector economics and fiscal policy. This paper uses the Synthetic Control Method to study how different large-scale steps of European integration and the establishment of the EU fiscal framework have affected government debt in EU Member States. The results point to a notable debt-restricting effect of EU membership and the introduction of the Stability and Growth Pact for a large majority of the studied country groupings as well as for individual countries. Outside of a few individual countries, the actual government debt levels are substantially lower than in the synthetic alternatives.


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Last updated on 2025-27-03 at 21:53