A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

Countercyclical and time-varying reward to risk and the equity premium




AuthorsAntell Jan, Vaihekoski Mika

PublisherElsevier

Publication year2023

JournalResearch in International Business and Finance

Journal acronymRIBAF

Article number102017

Volume66

eISSN0275-5319

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2023.102017

Web address https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2023.102017

Self-archived copy’s web addresshttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/179840453


Abstract

We study whether the equity premium is related to volatility or variance, whether the reward to market risk is positive, and whether it behaves in a counter-cyclical fashion. Using APARCH models for the conditional market risk, we compare the traditional and the new testing approach of Antell and Vaihekoski (2019) on the monthly US equity premium from 1928 to 2018. The results from the new approach give stronger support for the pricing of volatility rather than variance and for positive reward to market risk. The support for timevarying and countercyclical reward to risk coefficient is smaller than previously thought.


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Last updated on 2025-27-03 at 21:52