Risk-return trade-off in international stock returns: Skewness and business cycles
: Nyberg Henri, Savva Christos S.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
: 2023
: Econometrics and Statistics
: 2452-3062
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosta.2023.02.004
: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosta.2023.02.004
: https://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/179143621
The fundamental risk-return relation is examined with a flexible regime switching model combining the impact of skewness and business cycle regimes in stock returns. Key methodological and empirical findings point out the need for a highly nonlinear and non-Gaussian model to get a reliable picture on the risk-return relationship. With an international dataset of major countries to global financial markets, the empirical results show that accounting especially for skewness patterns leads to the expected positive risk-return relation, which is importantly also maintained over different business cycle conditions.