A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal
Risk-return trade-off in international stock returns: Skewness and business cycles
Authors: Nyberg Henri, Savva Christos S.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Publication year: 2023
Journal: Econometrics and Statistics
eISSN: 2452-3062
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosta.2023.02.004
Web address : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosta.2023.02.004
Self-archived copy’s web address: https://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/179143621
The fundamental risk-return relation is examined with a flexible regime switching model combining the impact of skewness and business cycle regimes in stock returns. Key methodological and empirical findings point out the need for a highly nonlinear and non-Gaussian model to get a reliable picture on the risk-return relationship. With an international dataset of major countries to global financial markets, the empirical results show that accounting especially for skewness patterns leads to the expected positive risk-return relation, which is importantly also maintained over different business cycle conditions.
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