Narrative Triggers of Information Sensitivity




Ristolainen Kim

PublisherAboa Centre for Economics

2022

Aboa Centre for Economics Discussion Papers

156

1796-3133

ace-economics.fi/kuvat/dp156.pdf

https://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/177285561



Economic research has shown that debt markets have an information sensitivity property that allows these markets to work properly when price discovery is absent and opaqueness is maintained. Dang, Gorton and Holmström (2015) argue that sufficiently “bad news” can switch debt to become information sensitive and start a financial crisis. We identify narrative triggers in the news by utilizing machine learning methods and daily information about firm default probability, the public’s information acquisition and newspaper articles. We find state-specific generalizable triggers whose effect is determined by the language used by journalists. This language is associated with different psychological thinking processes.


Last updated on 2024-26-11 at 19:13