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Narrative Triggers of Information Sensitivity




AuthorsRistolainen Kim

PublisherAboa Centre for Economics

Publication year2022

Series titleAboa Centre for Economics Discussion Papers

Number in series156

ISSN1796-3133

Web address ace-economics.fi/kuvat/dp156.pdf

Self-archived copy’s web addresshttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/177285561


Abstract

Economic research has shown that debt markets have an information sensitivity property that allows these markets to work properly when price discovery is absent and opaqueness is maintained. Dang, Gorton and Holmström (2015) argue that sufficiently “bad news” can switch debt to become information sensitive and start a financial crisis. We identify narrative triggers in the news by utilizing machine learning methods and daily information about firm default probability, the public’s information acquisition and newspaper articles. We find state-specific generalizable triggers whose effect is determined by the language used by journalists. This language is associated with different psychological thinking processes.


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