Plausible 6G Futures: Scenarios for the Future MNO Business Environment in the 6G Era




Ikezumi Yukie, Knudsen Mikkel Stein, Kaivo-oja Jari

Lorna Uden, I-Hsien Ting, Birgit Feldmann

International Conference on Knowledge Management in Organizations

Cham

2022

Communications in Computer and Information Science

Knowledge Management in Organisations: 16th International Conference, KMO 2022, Hagen, Germany, July 11–14, 2022, Proceedings

Communications in Computer and Information Science

1593

334

346

978-3-031-07919-1

978-3-031-07920-7

1865-0929

1865-0937

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-07920-7_26

https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-07920-7_26



The paper explores plausible scenarios for the business environment of mobile network operators (MNOs) after the eventual rollout of 6G. The 6G era is characterized by multi-dimensional uncertainty, as neither the technology nor the business landscape is yet in place. However, futures research methods and scenarios help alleviate uncertainty and provide futures knowledge about plausible developments. Using environmental scanning and expert interviews, the paper presents four scenarios for MNOs based on the assumed rate of change for the sector (transformative vs. conservative) and the market success of the incumbents (continued rise vs. fall). Underneath the scenarios is a shared base of assumptions for which the experts converged; these assumptions of changing market configurations provide a useful synopsis of current expert consensus for 6G business futures.



Last updated on 2024-26-11 at 18:24