A4 Refereed article in a conference publication

Plausible 6G Futures: Scenarios for the Future MNO Business Environment in the 6G Era




AuthorsIkezumi Yukie, Knudsen Mikkel Stein, Kaivo-oja Jari

Editors Lorna Uden, I-Hsien Ting, Birgit Feldmann

Conference nameInternational Conference on Knowledge Management in Organizations

Publishing placeCham

Publication year2022

JournalCommunications in Computer and Information Science

Book title Knowledge Management in Organisations: 16th International Conference, KMO 2022, Hagen, Germany, July 11–14, 2022, Proceedings

Series titleCommunications in Computer and Information Science

Number in series1593

First page 334

Last page346

ISBN978-3-031-07919-1

eISBN978-3-031-07920-7

ISSN1865-0929

eISSN1865-0937

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-07920-7_26

Web address https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-07920-7_26


Abstract

The paper explores plausible scenarios for the business environment of mobile network operators (MNOs) after the eventual rollout of 6G. The 6G era is characterized by multi-dimensional uncertainty, as neither the technology nor the business landscape is yet in place. However, futures research methods and scenarios help alleviate uncertainty and provide futures knowledge about plausible developments. Using environmental scanning and expert interviews, the paper presents four scenarios for MNOs based on the assumed rate of change for the sector (transformative vs. conservative) and the market success of the incumbents (continued rise vs. fall). Underneath the scenarios is a shared base of assumptions for which the experts converged; these assumptions of changing market configurations provide a useful synopsis of current expert consensus for 6G business futures.



Last updated on 2024-26-11 at 18:24