Kari Auranen
Ph.D. (biometry, Helsinki University, 1999)
Department of Mathematics and Statistics kajuaur@utu.fi +358 29 450 4320 +358 50 350 6920 Vesilinnantie 5 Turku |
statistical analysis of cohort studies; evaluation of the effects of vaccination and infection mitigation; mathematical models of infection transmission
statistical analysis of infectious disease data; evaluation of population-level effects of vaccination; endpoints in vaccine trials.
I am currently a Professor of Statistics at the Department of Mathematics and Statistics and the Department of Clinical Medicine of the University of Turku (Finland). Before moving to Turku, I worked for almost 20 years on vaccination-related research questions at the Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare.
My own research interests include statistical modelling and analysis of infectious disease data, estimation of vaccine efficacy from trial and field data, dynamics of pneumococcal carriage and its relation to disease, and the effects of vaccination on the epidemiology of the pneumococcus. I have a special interest in Bayesian analysis of incompletely observed infectious disease data and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods applied to deal with the problem. My recent publications in the field of infectious disease data include a survey study of the intensity of social contacts and an analysis of the effectiveness of case isolation and quarantine during the early phase of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Finland. Through my students, I have recently become involved in the analysis of causal mediation in cohort and microbiome studies.
My teaching revolves around various topics related to biostatistics, with emphasis on real-life data analysis and statistical modelling. My recent lecture courses include "Survival analysis", "Design of experiments" and "Statistical methods in epidemiology".
- Dentofacial Malocclusion in Neurofibromatosis 1 in Finland (2025)
- American Journal of Medical Genetics Part A
- (2025)
- European Child and Adolescent Psychiatry
- Risk and prognosis of myocardial infarction in patients with neurofibromatosis type 1: Evidence of compromised survival2025
- Briefings in Bioinformatics
- Hospital Visits Associated With Oral Infections in Patients With Neurofibromatosis Type 1: A Register-Based Analysis (2025)
- American Journal of Medical Genetics Part A
- Increasing trend of antimicrobial resistance among methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus strains in Southwest Finland, 2007–2016: An analysis of shifting strain dynamics and emerging risk factors (2025)
- Journal of Global Antimicrobial Resistance
- On the distribution of isometric log-ratio coordinates under extra-multinomial count data (2025)
- Statistical Papers
- (2025)
- Epidemiology and InfectionBiostatistics & Epidemiology
- (2025)
- Genetics in MedicineEurosurveillance
- (2025)
- Environment InternationalInfectious DiseasesScientific Reports
- (2024)
- Clinical Epidemiology
- (2024)
- Molecular Genetics and Genomic MedicineLancet Infectious Diseases
- Hypothesis-driven mediation analysis for compositional data: an application to gut microbiome (2024)
- Non-COVID-19 hospitalisation as a negative control outcome in COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness studies (2024)
- (2024)
- Efficacy and effectiveness of case isolation and quarantine during a growing phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Finland (2023)
- Scientific Reports
- Presence of Streptococcus pyogenes in the throat in invasive Group A Streptococcal disease: a prospective two-year study in two health districts, Finland (2023)
- (2023)
- PLoS ONEInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
- Approximate likelihood-based estimation method of multiple-type pathogen interactions: An application to longitudinal pneumococcal carriage data (2022)
- Statistics in Medicine
- Effects of physical activity intervention on 24-h movement behaviors: a compositional data analysis (2022)
- Impact of Selected Meteorological Factors on COVID-19 Incidence in Southern Finland during 2020-2021 (2022)



