Kari Auranen
Ph.D. (biometry, Helsinki University, 1999)
Department of Mathematics and Statistics kajuaur@utu.fi +358 29 450 4320 +358 50 350 6920 Vesilinnantie 5 Turku |
statistical analysis of cohort studies; evaluation of the effects of vaccination and infection mitigation; mathematical models of infection transmission
statistical analysis of infectious disease data; evaluation of population-level effects of vaccination; endpoints in vaccine trials.
I am currently a Professor of Statistics at the Department of Mathematics and Statistics and the Department of Clinical Medicine of the University of Turku (Finland). Before moving to Turku, I worked for almost 20 years on vaccination-related research questions at the Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare.
My own research interests include statistical modelling and analysis of infectious disease data, estimation of vaccine efficacy from trial and field data, dynamics of pneumococcal carriage and its relation to disease, and the effects of vaccination on the epidemiology of the pneumococcus. I have a special interest in Bayesian analysis of incompletely observed infectious disease data and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods applied to deal with the problem. My recent publications in the field of infectious disease data include a survey study of the intensity of social contacts and an analysis of the effectiveness of case isolation and quarantine during the early phase of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Finland. Through my students, I have recently become involved in the analysis of causal mediation in cohort and microbiome studies.
My teaching revolves around various topics related to biostatistics, with emphasis on real-life data analysis and statistical modelling. My recent lecture courses include "Survival analysis", "Design of experiments" and "Statistical methods in epidemiology".
- Cohort Profile Update: Expanding the Cardiovascular Risk in Young Finns Study into a multigenerational cohort (2026)
- International Journal of Epidemiology
(A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal) - Detection of asymptomatic group A Streptococcus throat carriage and respiratory viruses during pharyngitis outbreaks in two daycare centers (2026)
- Microbiology spectrum
(A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal) - Evaluation of temporal preservation in synthetic longitudinal patient data (2026)
- Journal of Biomedical Informatics
(A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal) - Increase in liana prevalence after logging and thinning in an eastern Amazonian forest (2026)
- Forest Ecology and Management
(A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal) - Mediation analysis in longitudinal intervention studies with an ordinal treatment-dependent confounder (2026)
- Statistical Methods in Medical Research
(A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal) - Sustaining herd immunity against measles: Insights from a serological cohort study in an outbreak-free population (2026)
- Infection
(A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal) - Dentofacial Malocclusion in Neurofibromatosis 1 in Finland (2025)
- American Journal of Medical Genetics Part A
(A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal) - Duration of ADHD medication treatment among Finnish children and adolescents - a nationwide register study (2025)
- European Child and Adolescent Psychiatry
(A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal) - Elementary methods provide more replicable results in microbial differential abundance analysis (2025)
- Briefings in Bioinformatics
(A2 Refereed review article in a scientific journal ) - Hospital Visits Associated With Oral Infections in Patients With Neurofibromatosis Type 1: A Register-Based Analysis (2025)
- American Journal of Medical Genetics Part A
(A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal)



