A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal
Baldwin versus Cecchini revisited: the growth impact of the European Single Market
Authors: Lehtimäki Jonne, Sondermann David
Publisher: Physica-Verl.
Publication year: 2022
Journal: Empirical Economics
Journal acronym: EMPIR ECON
Volume: 63
Issue: 2
First page : 603
Last page: 635
Number of pages: 33
ISSN: 0377-7332
eISSN: 1435-8921
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-021-02161-w
Web address : https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00181-021-02161-w
Self-archived copy’s web address: https://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/68321565
The European Single Market created a common market for millions of Europeans. However, 30 years after its introduction, it appears that the benefits of the common European project are occasionally being questioned at least by some parts of the population. Others, by contrast, strive for deeper integration. Against this background, we empirically gauge the growth effect that arose from the Single Market. Using the synthetic control method, we establish the growth premium for the Single Market overall and for its founding members. Broadly in line with the predictions made by Richard Baldwin at the onset of the Single Market project, we find significantly higher real GDP per capita for the overall Single Market area of around 12-22 %. In comparison, smaller EU Member States seem to have benefited somewhat more compared to larger countries. The estimated growth effects underline the case for further deepening and broadening the Single Market where possible.
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