A1 Vertaisarvioitu alkuperäisartikkeli tieteellisessä lehdessä

Extensive climate-induced range shifts in butterflies across the globe;




TekijätChowdhury, Shawan; Aich, Upama; Antão, Laura H.; Pinkert, Stefan; Akite, Perpetra; Almeida, Gilberto S. S.; Amano, Tatsuya; Ambrus, Andras; Badon, Jade A. T.; Baek, Seung-Yun; Balalaikins, Maksims; Barták, Michal; Barve, Vijay; Bełcik, Michał; Bonebrake, Timothy C.; Bonelli, Simona; Bowler, Diana E.; Braby, Michael F.; Caritg, Roger; Choi, Sei-Woong; Chu, Wen-Chen; Clain, Eloisa; Collins, Steve; Cumplido, Johnattan H.; Dapporto, Leonardo; Deme, Gideon G.; Dolek, Matthias; Dolezal, Aleksandra; Firdaus, Fahmi Idris; Franzén, Markus; Freitas, André V. L.; Fuller, Richard A.; Gensch, Luisa; Grames, Eliza; Guariento, Elia; Haywood, Bryan; Hershcovich, Shiran; Jantke, Kerstin; John, Eddie; Kalivoda, Henrik; Karimi, Azadeh; Katayose, Ryosuke; Kawahara, Akito Y.; Khanal, Sujan; Kunte, Krushnamegh; L’Hoste, Lionel; Lenda, Magdalena; León-Cortés, Jorge L.; Lin, Da-Li; Ling, Yuet Fung; Lucia Lorini, Maria; Maes, Dirk; Martins, Dino; Merckx, Thomas; Mestdagh, Xavier; Monasterio, Yeray; Nakamura, Akihiro; Oh, Rachel R. Y.; Pettersson, Lars B.; Pippen, Jeffrey S.; Pladevall, Clara; Pollet, Ingrid L.; Pottier, Patrice; Rafi, Muhammad A.; Ramos, Danielle L.; Ranasinghe, Tharindu; Rautenbach, Fanie; Reith, Martin; Ringim, Abubakar S.; Riva, Federico; Roy, David B.; Ryrholm, Nils; Saastamoinen, Marjo; Settele, Josef; Sidemo-Holm, William; Skorka, Piotr; Stork, Nigel E.; Suwal, Sanej P.; Švitra, Giedrius; Swengel, Ann B.; Swengel, Scott R.; Titeux, Nicolas; Tropek, Robert; Tzortzakaki, Olga; van Swaay, Chris; Verovnik, Rudi; Wiedmann, Jerome L.; Wiemers, Martin; Yago, Masaya; Yazdandad, Hossein; Yehuda, Oz B.; Zografou, Konstantina; Bonn, Aletta; Pe’er, Guy; Lenoir, Jonathan

KustantajaSpringer Science and Business Media LLC

Julkaisuvuosi2026

Lehti: Nature Ecology and Evolution

eISSN2397-334X

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-026-03117-y

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Verkko-osoitehttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-026-03117-y

Rinnakkaistallenteen osoitehttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/526935613

Rinnakkaistallenteen lisenssiCC BY NC ND

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Tiivistelmä

Global changes are leading to widespread species redistribution. Comprehensive assessments of range shift dynamics and their drivers are difficult, partly due to the variation in range shift detection over space and taxa. Here we compile documented range shift records for 1,758 butterfly species from 105 countries and territories, representing ~10% of the known diversity of these insects. Most species (80%) experienced range expansions, and most range shifts (79%) were associated with climate change and extreme weather events. A substantial proportion of species in our dataset contracted their ranges (27%) or shifted along elevational gradients (22%). We report widespread horizontal range expansions and contractions across tropical countries, with less evidence for elevational range shifts. We show that a clearer picture of range shift dynamics emerged only through the combination of different types of data, with expert assessments and non-English studies alleviating potential biases. Our findings of climate-driven range shifts call for concerted efforts to improve inclusive data monitoring and conservation efforts, especially for tropical countries, where human-induced land-use changes exert additional critical pressure.


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We thank the IUCN Species Survival Commission Butterfly and Moth Specialist group and Butterfly Conservation for sharing the global list of butterfly experts who have been carrying out fieldwork for many years. We are grateful to all the volunteers and citizens who collated butterfly distribution data across the world. We thank O. Comay E. Simons for helping G.P. to calculate range shifts for Israeli butterflies. U.A. was supported by a Forrest Research Foundation fellowship (2023/GR001415). A.B. and G.P. acknowledge the support of the German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), and A.B. acknowledges the sMon project, both funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG-FZT 118, 202548816). A.V.L.F. thanks the Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico - CNPQ (304291/2020-0 and 408764/2024-4) and FAPESP (grants 2021/03868-8 and 2023/10376-0). K.J. was funded by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) under Germany′s Excellence Strategy (EXC 2037 ‘Climate, Climatic Change, and Society’ (CLICCS), project number 390683824, contribution to the Earth and Society Research Hub (ESRAH) of Universität Hamburg). L.D. was supported by the National Biodiversity Future Center (NBFC) of the Italian Ministry of University and Research funded by the European Union (NextGenerationEU, project code CN_00000033). L.B.P. and the Swedish Butterfly Monitoring Scheme are funded by the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency (SEPA). L.H.A. acknowledges funding from the Research Council of Finland (grant numbers 340280 and 361416/372215). D.R. was supported by the Natural Environment Research Council as part of the NC for Global Challenges programme (grant number NE/X006247/1) delivering National Capability, and by the INSPIRE project funded by the Aberdeen Group Charitable Trust (a registered charity in ScotlandSC040877). G.S.S.A. thanks Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior – Brazil – CAPES – Finance Code 001, for the scholarship. M.Y. was supported in part by JSPS KAKENHI (grant number JP25K02031).


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