A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal
Nutcracker irruptions depend more on food abundance than population size; 
Authors: Lehikoinen, Aleksi; Lindström, Åke; Ekebom, Agneta; Saarto, Annika
Publisher: BirdLife Finland
Publication year: 2026
Journal: Ornis Fennica
ISSN: 0030-5685
eISSN: 2736-898X
DOI: https://doi.org/10.51812/of.179439
Publication's open availability at the time of reporting: Open Access
Publication channel's open availability : Open Access publication channel
Web address : https://doi.org/10.51812/of.179439
Self-archived copy’s web address: https://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/526910043
Self-archived copy's licence: CC BY
Self-archived copy's version: Publisher`s PDF
Irruptive migration is a form of partial migration, where the part of the population that migrates varies significantly between years. The intensity of irruptions has been explained by variation in food availability, breeding success and breeding population size. We investigated factors affecting the irruptions by northern nutcrackers Nucifraga caryocatactes (hereafter nutcrackers) in northern Europe. We used long-term monitoring data on nutcrackers autumn migrating in SW Finland (Hanko) and SW Sweden (Falsterbo), the age ratio of nutcrackers in Finland, breeding population size estimates in Sweden, the annual pollen abundance variation of hazel nuts Corylus avellana in Finland and Sweden and annual nut crop size variation in SW Finland. Two subspecies of nutcrackers occur in the area: southern breeding birds belong to the nominate subspecies caryocatactes, whereas individuals of the macrorhynchos subspecies breed further north but also occur in irruptions from the east (Russia). The ringing numbers of the nominate subspecies at Hanko were negatively correlated with the nut crop size, but this connection was not found in macrorhynchos. The annual autumn total nutcracker migration numbers in Hanko and Falsterbo were negatively connected with hazel nut crop size and also hazel pollen abundance in Hanko. Proportion of young was positively connected with migration intensity in Hanko. The Swedish adult breeding population size did not show any connection with the migration numbers in Falsterbo. The role of the nut crop size was clearly stronger than the age ratio indicating that the lack of food is the key driver of the irruptions.
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