A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

Association of the IceCube neutrinos with CAZ blazar light curves




AuthorsKouch, Pouya M.; Hovatta, Talvikki; Lindfors, Elina; Liodakis, Ioannis; Koljonen, Karri I. I.; Paggi, Alessandro

PublisherEDP Sciences

Publication year2026

Journal: Astronomy and Astrophysics

Article numberA383

Volume708

ISSN0004-6361

eISSN1432-0746

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/202557584

Publication's open availability at the time of reportingOpen Access

Publication channel's open availability Open Access publication channel

Web address https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/202557584

Self-archived copy’s web addresshttps://research.utu.fi/converis/mypages/editor/Publication/523299860

Self-archived copy's licenceCC BY

Self-archived copy's versionPublisher`s PDF


Abstract

The IceCube Neutrino Observatory has detected several hundred high-energy neutrinos from cosmic sources. Despite numerous studies searching for their origin, it is still not known which sources emit them. A few likely individual associations exist with active galactic nuclei (AGNs), mostly comprising blazars (AGNs with jets pointed toward Earth). Nonetheless, on a population level, blazar-neutrino correlation strengths are rather weak. This could mean that blazars as a population do not emit high-energy neutrinos or that the detection power of the tests is insufficient due to the strong atmospheric neutrino background. By assuming an increase in high-energy neutrino emission during major blazar flares, in our previous studies, we leveraged the neutrino arrival time to boost the detection power. Here, we utilize the same principle, while substantially increasing the number of blazars in the sample. We searched for the spatiotemporal correlation of 356 IceCube high-energy neutrinos with major optical flares of 3225 radio- and 3814 γ-ray-selected blazars. We found that despite the increase in data size, the number of likely spatiotemporal associations remained low and the overall correlation strengths weak. Two individual associations were shown to drive our strongest correlation, namely, the only > 2σ post-trial spatiotemporal correlation, occurring with the BL Lac objects of the radio-selected blazar sample. We estimated that ≲8% of the detected cosmic neutrinos were emitted by blazars during major optical flares. As a complementary analysis, we compared the synchrotron peak frequency, redshift, Doppler factor, X-ray brightness, and optical variability of spatially neutrino-associated blazars to those of the general blazar population. We found that spatially neutrino-associated blazars have a Doppler factor and X-ray brightness that are higher than average.


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Funding information in the publication
PK was supported by Academy of Finland projects 346071 and 345899. EL was supported by Academy of Finland projects 317636, 320045, and 346071. TH acknowledges support from the Academy of Finland projects 317383, 320085, 345899, and 362571 and from the European Union ERC-2024-COG – PARTICLES – 101169986. KK acknowledges support from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (grant agreement No. 101002352). IL was funded by the European Union ERC-2022-STG – BOOTES – 101076343. Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or the European Research Council Executive Agency. Neither the European Union nor the granting authority can be held responsible for them. Based on observations obtained with the Samuel Oschin Telescope 48-inch and the 60-inch Telescope at the Palomar Observatory as part of the Zwicky Transient Facility project. ZTF is supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant No. AST-2034437 and a collaboration including Caltech, IPAC, the Weizmann Institute for Science, the Oskar Klein Center at Stockholm University, the University of Maryland, Deutsches Elektronen-Synchrotron and Humboldt University, the TANGO Consortium of Taiwan, the University of Wisconsin at Milwaukee, Trinity College Dublin, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratories, and IN2P3, France. Operations are conducted by COO, IPAC, and UW. The ZTF forced-photometry service was funded under the Heising-Simons Foundation grant #12540303 (PI: M.J.Graham). This work used data from the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) project. The ATLAS project is primarily funded to search for near earth asteroids through NASA grants NN12AR55G, 80NSSC18K0284, and 80NSSC18K1575; byproducts of the NEO search include images and catalogs from the survey area. This work was partially funded by Kepler/K2 grant J1944/80NSSC19K0112 and HST GO-15889, and STFC grants ST/T000198/1 and ST/S006109/1.


Last updated on 12/05/2026 01:05:44 PM