A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

Childhood BMI and Fasting Glucose and Insulin Predict Adult Type 2 Diabetes: The International Childhood Cardiovascular Cohort (i3C) Consortium




AuthorsHu Tian, Jacobs David R, Sinaiko Alan R, Bazzano Lydia A, Burns Trudy L, Daniels Stephen R, Dwyer Terry, Hutri-Kähonen Nina, Juonala Markus, Murdy Kari A, Prineas Ronald J, Raitakari Olli T, Urbina Elaine M, Venn Alison, Woo Jessica G, Steinberger Julia

PublisherAMER DIABETES ASSOC

Publication year2020

JournalDiabetes Care

Journal name in sourceDIABETES CARE

Journal acronymDIABETES CARE

Volume43

Issue11

First page 2821

Last page2829

Number of pages9

ISSN0149-5992

eISSN1935-5548

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.2337/dc20-0822

Self-archived copy’s web addresshttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/51436304


Abstract
OBJECTIVE To examine childhood BMI, fasting glucose, and insulin in relation to incident adult type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). 
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS We used data from the International Childhood Cardiovascular Cohort (i3C) Consortium. Data included childhood (age 3-19 years) measurements obtained during the 1970s-1990s; a health questionnaire, including self-report of adult T2DM (occurrence age, medication use) obtained at mean age 40 years; and a medical diagnosis registry (Finland). 
RESULTS The sample included 6,738 participants. Of these, 436 (6.5%) reported onset of T2DM between ages 20 and 59 (mean 40.8) years, and 86% of them reported use of a confirmed antidiabetic medication. BMI and glucose (age and sex standardized) were associated with incident T2DM after adjustment for cohort, country, sex, race, age, and calendar year of measurement. Increasing levels of childhood BMI and glucose were related to an incrementally increased risk of T2DM beginning at age 30 years, beginning at cut points <95th percentile for BMI and <100 mg/dL for glucose. Insulin was positively associated with adult T2DM after adjustment for BMI and glucose and added to T2DM discrimination.
CONCLUSIONS Childhood BMI and glucose are predictors of adult T2DM at levels previously considered to be within the normal range. These easy-to-apply measurements are appealing from a clinical perspective. Fasting insulin has the potential to be an additional predictor.

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