Future uncertainties, emergence and context : On interface of strategic foresight and intelligence studies




Ahlqvist, Toni

PublisherCentrum Balticum

2026

 Baltic Rim Economies

1/2026

1459-9759

https://www.centrumbalticum.org/en/publications/baltic_rim_economies/baltic_rim_economies_1_2026_-_intelligence_and_foresight/toni_ahlqvist_future_uncertainties_emergence_and_context_on_interface_of_strategic_foresight_and_intelligence_studies



In this brief essay I chart a selected interface between the fields of strategic foresight and intelligence studies. I view these fields through a lens of future uncertainties and argue that both of these fields need to cope with varied levels of uncertainty in a context, be it a set of future pathways or other substance matter. I argue that in both of these fields it is crucial to understand two related aspects of future uncertainties: 1) horizon of uncertainty and 2) emergence in a context.



Last updated on 30/01/2026 09:51:23 AM