A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal
Election Pledges in Multiparty Governments: When do Voters Accept Non-Fulfillment?
Authors: Ylisalo, Juha; Matthiess, Theres; Praprotnik, Katrin; Ennser-Jedenastik, Laurenz
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Publication year: 2025
Journal:British Journal of Political Science
Article number: e133
Volume: 55
ISSN: 0007-1234
eISSN: 1469-2112
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123425100860
Self-archived copy’s web address: https://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/505063229
Theories of representative democracy emphasize the importance of electoral pledges for informed voting and government accountability. Recent studies have highlighted citizens’ tendency to impose electoral punishments when parties fail to fulfill their pledges. However, conditions under which citizens consider non-fulfillment acceptable have received little attention. Specifically, multiparty government makes it less likely that an individual party fulfills its pledges, but whether citizens take such obstacles into account when evaluating the acceptability of non-fulfillment has remained largely untested. We theorize that both the coalition negotiation context and the negotiation outcome influence citizens’ evaluations. To test our hypotheses, we conducted two vignette experiments in Finland and Germany. The results revealed that, regardless of their opinion about the substance of a pledge, voters were more accepting of unfulfilled pledges when party or coalition characteristics created obstacles to fulfillment. The findings suggest that voters possess a nuanced understanding of the constraints of coalition government.
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Funding information in the publication:
Support for this research was provided by the Research Council of Finland (Decision no. 340660).