A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal
The Role of Summer Temperature on Aquatic Insect Diversity at Multi‐Decadal Scales Within the Holocene
Authors: Abrook, Ashley M.; Langdon, Peter G.; Inglis, Gordon N.; Brauer, Achim; Lincoln, Paul; Mayfield, Roseanna; Ojala, Antti E. K.; Martin‐Puertas, Celia
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell
Publication year: 2025
Journal: Global Change Biology
Journal name in source: Global Change Biology
Article number: e70366
Volume: 31
Issue: 8
ISSN: 1354-1013
eISSN: 1365-2486
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70366
Web address : https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70366
Self-archived copy’s web address: https://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/499682599
Future anthropogenic warming is suggested to have major impacts on global biodiversity, with freshwater ecosystems particularly under threat. Understanding the role of temperature in impacting freshwater biodiversity is therefore of paramount importance. Previous research suggested that temperature has a limited influence on freshwater diversity across the Holocene. However, this is mostly based on data resolved at centennial to millennial scales, and it is therefore unknown whether freshwater diversity responds similarly over shorter (decadal/multi-decadal) timescales. We present aquatic insect (Chironomidae) summer temperature reconstructions and key diversity metrics (α-diversity, β-diversity, and network skewness) from three annually laminated lacustrine records from Europe (Diss Mere, UK; Nautajärvi, Finland; and Meerfelder Maar, Germany) across the Holocene, including multi-decadal resolutions within the Holocene Thermal Maximum (HTM) to test this. Our results reveal three major findings with both spatial and temporal elements: (1) At regional (European) scales, using all available data, there is a significant decline in all three diversity metrics with increased summer temperature; (2) at local multi-decadal scales across the HTM, in the absence of additional major land-use and eutrophication drivers, summer temperature has only a minor control on aquatic insect diversity (with the exception of a proposed cooling between 6.2 and 5.9 ka BP); and (3) at local low-frequency timescales, we find a similar relationship, albeit with warm temperatures appearing to promote assemblage stability. As such, temperature and diversity relationships are complex and non-linear through time and space. We argue that understanding variability in aquatic insect diversity across different temporal and spatial scales is important to consider when assessing the potential for future biodiversity changes under warming climatic regimes in the coming decades.
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Funding information in the publication:
This study was funded by the UKRI Medical Research Council through a Future Leaders Fellowship held by C.M.-P.: DECADAL: Rethinking Palaeoclimatology for Society (MR/W009641/1). The authors thank the Maarmuseum in Manderscheid for logistical support during coring of Meerfelder Maar, with work at Nautajärvi conducted with the collaboration of Digital Waters Flagship (DIWA) (decision no. 359247) funded by the Research Council of Finland. G.N.I. is supported by a GCRF Royal Society Dorothy Hodgkin Fellowship (DHF\R1\191178) with additional support via the Royal Society (RF\ERE\231019, RF\ERE\210068).