A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal
Purpose matters : Impact of public loan guarantees on business growth
Authors: Kotamäki, Mauri
Publisher: Elsevier
Publication year: 2025
Journal: Economics Letters
Journal name in source: Economics Letters
Article number: 112455
Volume: 254
ISSN: 0165-1765
eISSN: 1873-7374
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112455
Web address : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112455
Self-archived copy’s web address: https://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/499573146
This study investigates the impact of public bank loan guarantees on firm performance in Finland, a small and open economy, leveraging a novel empirical approach and detailed financial instrument analysis. We combine registry-based data with records from Finnvera, Finland’s National Promotional Bank, and apply the cutting-edge panel matching methodology of Imai et al. (2023) to address causal inference challenges in this context. Our results reveal that guarantees significantly boost turnover, employment, and total assets, with effects varying by loan purpose. Notably, guarantees tied to intangible investments yield the strongest growth in turnover and employment, alongside substantial asset expansion, a granularity often overlooked in prior studies. While average productivity effects are near zero, we uncover tentative evidence of positive productivity gains for intangible capital guarantees. Further disaggregation highlights amplified impacts among micro-enterprises, offering fresh insights into the heterogeneity of policy outcomes. These findings advance our understanding of public financial instruments’ role in fostering economic growth at a nuanced level.
Downloadable publication This is an electronic reprint of the original article. |