A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

Spatial and Temporal Dynamics of Birch Populations in Residential Areas of St. Petersburg, Russia, from 2002 to 2022




AuthorsKozlov, Mikhail V.; Valdés-Correcher, Elena; Zverev, Vitali

PublisherMDPI AG

Publishing placeBASEL

Publication year2025

JournalEarth

Journal name in sourceEarth

Journal acronymEARTH-BASEL

Article number41

Volume6

Issue2

Number of pages12

eISSN2673-4834

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.3390/earth6020041

Web address https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6020041

Self-archived copy’s web addresshttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/499178459


Abstract
Trees play a vital role in urban landscapes, yet long-term dynamics in tree populations across different levels of urbanization remain poorly understood. We examined whether current spatial patterns of native tree populations predict future changes by monitoring two native birch species (Betula pendula and B. pubescens) in six residential areas of St. Petersburg, Russia. Birch density declined toward the city centre by 1.87 trees ha-1 km-1. From 2002 to 2022, birch populations in sparsely built-up areas (6-8 km from the centre) declined by 0.15 trees ha-1 year-1 due to ageing and urban development, while populations in densely built-up areas near the centre increased by 0.02 trees ha-1 year-1 due to limited tree cutting and greater planting efforts. These trends challenge the assumption that spatial patterns reliably predict temporal changes, emphasizing the complex interplay between ecological and societal factors in urban tree dynamics. We anticipate the continued decline in birch populations in sparsely built-up areas of St. Petersburg over the next 10-20 years until residents recognize the value of their declining greenery and either pressure the city government to intensify planting efforts or begin planting trees themselves.

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Funding information in the publication
This study was funded by the Research Council of Finland, grant numbers 122133 and 259854.


Last updated on 2025-08-08 at 13:33