A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

Very high energy proton peak flux model




AuthorsOsku Raukunen, Miikka Paassilta, Rami Vainio, Juan V. Rodriguez, Timo Eronen, Norma Crosby, Mark Dierckxsens, Piers Jiggens, Daniel Heynderickx, Ingmar Sandberg

PublisherEDP SCIENCES S A

Publication year2020

JournalJournal of Space Weather and Space Climate

Journal name in sourceJOURNAL OF SPACE WEATHER AND SPACE CLIMATE

Journal acronymJ SPACE WEATHER SPAC

Article numberARTN 24

Volume10

Number of pages11

ISSN2115-7251

eISSN2115-7251

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2020024

Web address https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2020024

Self-archived copy’s web addresshttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/48846520


Abstract
Solar energetic particles (SEPs) pose a serious radiation hazard to spacecraft and astronauts. The highest energy SEPs are a significant threat even in heavily shielded applications. We present a new probabilistic model of very high energy differential peak proton fluxes. The model is based on GOES/HEPAD observations between 1986 and 2018, i.e., covering very nearly three complete solar cycles. The SEP event list for the model was defined using a statistical criterion derived by setting the possibility of false detection of an event to 1%. The peak flux distributions were calculated for the interpolated energies 405 MeV, 500 MeV and 620 MeV, and modelled with exponentially cut off power law functions. The HEPAD data were cleaned and corrected using a "bow-tie" method which is based on the response functions of the HEPAD channels P8-P10 found in the instrument calibration reports. The results of the model are available to the Space Weather community as a web-based tool at the ESA's Space Situational Awareness Programme Space Weather Service Network.

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