A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

The effect of smoking cessation on work disability risk: a longitudinal study analysing observational data as non-randomized nested pseudo-trials




AuthorsAiraksinen J., Ervasti J., Pentti J., Oksanen T., Suominen S., Vahtera J., Virtanen M., Kivimäki M.

PublisherOXFORD UNIV PRESS

Publication year2019

JournalInternational Journal of Epidemiology

Journal name in sourceINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY

Journal acronymINT J EPIDEMIOL

Volume48

Issue2

First page 415

Last page422

Number of pages8

ISSN0300-5771

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyz020

Web address https://academic.oup.com/ije/article/48/2/415/5366228

Self-archived copy’s web addresshttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/41695375


Abstract
Background: Smoking increases disability risk, but the extent to which smoking cessation reduces the risk of work disability is unclear. We used non-randomized nested pseudo-trials to estimate the benefits of smoking cessation for preventing work disability.
Methods: We analysed longitudinal data on smoking status and work disability [long-term sickness absence (>= 90 days) or disability pension] from two independent prospective cohort studies-the Finnish Public Sector study (FPS) (n = 7393) and the Health and Social Support study (HeSSup) (n = 2701)-as 'nested pseudo-trials'. All the 10094 participants were smokers at Time 1 and free of long-term work disability at Time 2. We compared the work disability risk after Time 2 of the participants who smoked at Time 1 and Time 2 with that of those who quit smoking between these times.
Results: Of the participants in pseudo-trials, 2964 quit smoking between Times 1 and 2. During the mean follow-up of 4.8 to 8.6 years after Time 2, there were 2197 incident cases of work disability across the trials. Quitting smoking was associated with a reduced risk of any work disability [summary hazard ratio = 0.89, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.81-0.98]. The hazard ratio for the association between quitting smoking and permanent disability pension (928 cases) was of similar magnitude, but less precisely estimated (0.91, 95% CI 0.81-1.02). Among the participants with high scores on the work disability risk score (top third), smoking cessation reduced the risk of disability pension by three percentage points. Among those with a low risk score (bottom third), smoking cessation reduced the risk by half a percentage point.
Conclusions: Our results suggest an approximately 10% hazard reduction of work disability as a result of quitting smoking.

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