A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

The relative strengths of rapid and delayed density dependence acting on a terrestrial herbivore change along a pollution gradient




AuthorsMark D. Hunter, Mikhail V. Kozlov

PublisherBlackwell Publishing Ltd

Publication year2019

JournalJournal of Animal Ecology

Journal name in sourceJournal of Animal Ecology

Volume88

Issue5

First page 665

Last page676

Number of pages12

ISSN0021-8790

eISSN1365-2656

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12930

Self-archived copy’s web addresshttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/39094745


Abstract
  1. Animal populations vary in response to a combination
    of density‐dependent and density‐independent forces, which interact to
    drive their population dynamics. Understanding how abiotic forces
    mediate the form and strength of density‐dependent processes remains a
    central goal of ecology, and is of increasing urgency in a rapidly
    changing world.
  2. Here, we report for the first time that industrial
    pollution determines the relative strength of rapid and delayed density
    dependence operating on an animal population. We explored the impacts of
    pollution and climate on the population dynamics of an eruptive
    leafmining moth, Phyllonorycter strigulatella, around a coal‐fired power plant near Apatity, north‐western Russia. Populations were monitored at 14 sites over 26 years.
  3. The relative strengths of rapid and delayed density
    dependence varied with distance from the power plant. Specifically, the
    strength of rapid density dependence increased while the strength of
    delayed density dependence decreased with increasing distance from the
    pollution source. Paralleling the increasing strength of rapid density
    dependence, we observed declines in the densities of P. strigulatella,
    increases in predation pressure from birds and ants, and declines in an
    unknown source of mortality (perhaps plant antibiosis) with increasing
    distance from the power plant.
  4. In contrast to the associations with pollution,
    associations between climate change and leafminer population densities
    were negligible.
  5. Our results may help to explain the outbreaks of
    insect herbivores that are frequently observed in polluted environments.
    We show that they can result from the weakening of rapid (stabilizing)
    density dependence relative to the effects of destabilizing delayed
    density dependence. Moreover, our results may explain some of the
    variation reported in published studies of animal populations in
    polluted habitats. Variable results may emerge in part because of the
    location of the study sites on different parts of pollution gradients.
    Finally, in a rapidly changing world, effects of anthropogenic pollution
    may be as, or more, important than are effects of climate change on the
    future dynamics of animal populations.

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