A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal
Calcium Scoring Improves Clinical Management in Patients With Low Clinical Likelihood of Coronary Artery Disease
Authors: Brix Gitte S., Rasmussen Laust D., Rohde Palle D., Schmidt Samuel E., Nyegaard Mette, Douglas Pamela S., Newby David E., Williams Michelle C., Foldyna Borek, Knuuti Juhani, Bøttcher Morten, Winther Simon
Publisher: Elsevier; American College of Cardiology Foundation
Publication year: 2024
Journal: JACC: Cardiovascular Imaging
Journal name in source: JACC: Cardiovascular Imaging
Volume: 17
Issue: 6
First page : 625
Last page: 639
ISSN: 1936-878X
eISSN: 1876-7591
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcmg.2023.11.008
Web address : https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1936878X23005272
Self-archived copy’s web address: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11820/9e86c50c-cd15-4531-9eb7-548aac124841
Background Coronary artery calcium scoring (CACS) improves management of chest pain patients. However, it is unknown whether the benefit of CACS is dependent on the clinical likelihood (CL). Objectives This study aims to investigate for which patients CACS has the greatest benefit when added to a CL model. Methods Based on data from a clinical database, the CL of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) was calculated for 39,837 patients referred for cardiac imaging due to symptoms suggestive of obstructive CAD. Patients were categorized according to the risk factor–weighted (RF-CL) model (very low, ≤5%; low, >5 to ≤15%; moderate >15 to ≤50%; high, >50%). CL was then recalculated incorporating the CACS result (CACS-CL). Reclassification rates and the number needed to test with CACS to reclassify patients were calculated and validated in 3 independent cohorts (n = 9,635). Results In total, 15,358 (39%) patients were down- or upclassified after including CACS. Reclassification rates were 8%, 75%, 53%, and 30% in the very low, low, moderate, and high RF-CL categories, respectively. Reclassification to very low CACS-CL occurred in 48% of reclassified patients. The number needed to test to reclassify 1 patient from low RF-CL to very low CACS-CL was 2.1 with consistency across age, sex, and cohorts. CACS-CL correlated better to obstructive CAD prevalence than RF-CL. Conclusions Added to an RF-CL model for obstructive CAD, CACS identifies more patients unlikely to benefit from further testing. The number needed to test with CACS to reclassify patients depends on the pretest RF-CL and is lowest in patients with low (>5% to ≤15%) likelihood of CAD.
Funding information in the publication:
Drs Newby and Williams have received support from the British Heart Foundation (FS/ICRF/20/26002, CH/09/002, RG/16/10/32375, RE/18/5/34216). The PROMISE study was supported by grants from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (R01HL098237, R01HL098236, R01HL098305, and R01HL098235). Dr Winther has received support from the Novo Nordisk Foundation Clinical Emerging Investigator grant (NNF21OC0066981).