A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal
Epistemology and public policy: using a new typology to analyse the paradigm shift in Finnish transport futures studies
Authors: Tapio Petri, Hietanen Olli
Publisher: Elsevier
Publication year: 2002
Journal: Futures
Journal name in source: FUTURES
Article number: PII S0016-3287(02)00003-4
Volume: 34
Issue: 7
First page : 597
Last page: 620
Number of pages: 24
ISSN: 0016-3287
eISSN: 1873-6378
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0016-3287(02)00003-4
Web address : https://doi.org/10.1016/S0016-3287(02)00003-4
Abstract
The aim of the article is to present a new typology of paradigms of futures studies with specific focus on decision-making. Possible roles of futurists and other actors in long-term planning and decision-making processes are formed using logical analysis. The resulting seven schools of thought are interpreted in the light of literature of futures studies and planning theory. Connections to the philosophical discussion on the role of knowledge and values in policy recommendations are presented as well. Some futures studies methodological applications are attached to the paradigms. The new typology forms a gradient from technocracy performed by professionals to direct citizen participation. Finally, the paradigm shift of Finnish national transport futures studies is analysed using the new typology. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
The aim of the article is to present a new typology of paradigms of futures studies with specific focus on decision-making. Possible roles of futurists and other actors in long-term planning and decision-making processes are formed using logical analysis. The resulting seven schools of thought are interpreted in the light of literature of futures studies and planning theory. Connections to the philosophical discussion on the role of knowledge and values in policy recommendations are presented as well. Some futures studies methodological applications are attached to the paradigms. The new typology forms a gradient from technocracy performed by professionals to direct citizen participation. Finally, the paradigm shift of Finnish national transport futures studies is analysed using the new typology. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.