A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

Energy efficiency as a driver of total primary energy supply in the EU-28 countries – incremental decomposition analysis




AuthorsJarmo Vehmas, Jari Kaivo-oja, Jyrki Luukkanen

PublisherElsevier Ltd

Publication year2018

JournalHeliyon

Journal name in sourceHeliyon

Volume4

Issue10

Number of pages23

ISSN2405-8440

eISSN2405-8440

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2018.e00878

Web address https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844018344323

Self-archived copy’s web addresshttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/36521235


Abstract

Energy efficiency is a common element in European energy and climate policies. In the EU energy policy, energy efficiency is a policy target, and in the EU climate policy, energy efficiency is a means to achieve the CO2 targets. In this paper, energy efficiency trends in the European Union and its 28 countries are analyzed during the period 1990–2015 by using the data provided by international Energy Agency (IEA). Total primary energy supply is decomposed into the effects of change in population, economic activity, final energy intensity, and the ratio between primary and final energy use. This paper introduces an incremental decomposition analysis method based on the Sun-Shapley method. Incremental decomposition provides information about annual changes. Information for longer periods can be obtained by summing up the necessary annual results. The empirical analysis carried out for the EU-28 countries clearly shows the effects of financial crisis 2008–09. When the whole period 1990–2015 is considered, despite of significant decrease in energy intensity, total primary energy supply has decreased only slightly in the EU. Differences between the countries are significant.


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