Separation risk over union duration: An immediate itch?




Jalovaara Marika, Kulu Hill

PublisherOxford University Press

2018

European Sociological Review

34

5

486

500

15

0266-7215

1468-2672

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1093/esr/jcy017

https://academic.oup.com/esr/advance-article/doi/10.1093/esr/jcy017/5049597

https://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/34738305



This study examines the risk of separation over union duration. Previous research reports a rising-falling pattern of divorce risk over marriage duration consistent with psychological notions of ‘honeymoon’ and ‘seven-year itch’. Little is known about the variation of the separation risk over cohabitation duration or over marriage duration when the length of partnership is measured from the beginning of coresidence. We include data on non-marital and marital unions and propose a novel way of treating cohabitation and marriage as episodes of the same union. We use Finnish large-scale register data and control for individuals’ observed and unobserved characteristics. Our results show that in cohabitations, the separation rate is highest at the beginning of union. Entry into marriage is followed by a significant drop in separation levels and a modest rising-falling pattern, which is independent of the length of pre-marital cohabitation. Marriage entails permanence, with a short ‘honeymoon’ effect and a long-term ‘effect’, much of which probably reflects self-selection of committed and satisfied cohabiters to marriage.


Last updated on 2024-26-11 at 20:21