C1 Vertaisarvioitu tieteellinen erillisteos
Towards the Third Industrial Revolution - Neo-Carbon Energy Futures Clinique I
Tekijät: Heinonen Sirkka, Karjalainen Joni, Ruotsalainen Juho
Kustannuspaikka: Turku
Julkaisuvuosi: 2015
Numero sarjassa: 6
ISBN: 978-952-249-394-1
ISSN: 1797-1322
Verkko-osoite: https://www.utu.fi/fi/yksikot/ffrc/julkaisut/e-tutu/Documents/FFRC-eBook-6-2015.pdf
Tiivistelmä
This report presents the results of ”Creating the Third Industrial Revolution”, a Futures Clinique organised in Ruoholahti, Helsinki May 6, 2015 at Sitra. Futures Clinique is a distinct futures workshop method. The fu-tures clinique was conducted within a research project NEO-CARBON ENERGY and its futures research part “Neo-Carbon Enabling Neo-Growth Society – Transformative Energy Futures 2050”, funded by Tekes. Neo-Carbon Energy is an ongoing joint research project of the Technical Research Centre of Fin-land (VTT) as co-ordinator, together with the Finland Futures Research Centre (FFRC) and Lappeenranta University of Technology (LUT) as partners. The technological aim of the project is to study and develop energy storage systems for wind and solar, a combination that is called the Neo-Carbon Energy system. The system is cost-effective, independent and carbon-neutral, as carbon dioxide is captured from the air to pro-duce synthetic methane or other carbon-based chemicals.
Around 70 experts participated in the Futures Clinique. The participants included project members, government, business and third sector representatives as well as students. They worked around four tenta-tive scenario sketches until the year 2050 called Radical Startups, Value-driven Techemoths, Green DIY Engineers and New Consciousness. All of the scenarios are transformative i.e. implying fundamental change and differ more or less radically from the present. The scenario sketches were analysed on a general level and especial-ly with regard to implications for Finland. Four different futures research methods were employed in the workshop: 1) Futures Window, 2) Futures Wheel, 3) PESTEC Table, leading into a vision summarized as an energy manifesto, as well as 4) anticipation of potential black swans.
The different groups in the Futures Clinique identified several pathways and factors that may drive a third industrial revolution and the realization of the neo-carbon energy system. In Finland, cross-disciplinary innovation that combines energy knowledge with “soft” skills will drive future change. In addi-tion to a courageous vision, investments into demonstrations can manifest the potential of future solutions, driven by ecological values and teamwork. Unpredictability in the political environment was identified as a barrier to the emerging vision. Political leadership and long-term visionary thinking could help overcome this. Should change not happen from within, external ecological or economic shocks to our present systems may expedite solutions driving the third industrial revolution and a neo-growth society. Awaiting for the world to change could, however, signify the loss of momentum. The opportunities provided by neo-carbon are there to be grasped proactively. The project work will continue based on these findings and invites fu-ture collaborators for this emerging vision.
This report presents the results of ”Creating the Third Industrial Revolution”, a Futures Clinique organised in Ruoholahti, Helsinki May 6, 2015 at Sitra. Futures Clinique is a distinct futures workshop method. The fu-tures clinique was conducted within a research project NEO-CARBON ENERGY and its futures research part “Neo-Carbon Enabling Neo-Growth Society – Transformative Energy Futures 2050”, funded by Tekes. Neo-Carbon Energy is an ongoing joint research project of the Technical Research Centre of Fin-land (VTT) as co-ordinator, together with the Finland Futures Research Centre (FFRC) and Lappeenranta University of Technology (LUT) as partners. The technological aim of the project is to study and develop energy storage systems for wind and solar, a combination that is called the Neo-Carbon Energy system. The system is cost-effective, independent and carbon-neutral, as carbon dioxide is captured from the air to pro-duce synthetic methane or other carbon-based chemicals.
Around 70 experts participated in the Futures Clinique. The participants included project members, government, business and third sector representatives as well as students. They worked around four tenta-tive scenario sketches until the year 2050 called Radical Startups, Value-driven Techemoths, Green DIY Engineers and New Consciousness. All of the scenarios are transformative i.e. implying fundamental change and differ more or less radically from the present. The scenario sketches were analysed on a general level and especial-ly with regard to implications for Finland. Four different futures research methods were employed in the workshop: 1) Futures Window, 2) Futures Wheel, 3) PESTEC Table, leading into a vision summarized as an energy manifesto, as well as 4) anticipation of potential black swans.
The different groups in the Futures Clinique identified several pathways and factors that may drive a third industrial revolution and the realization of the neo-carbon energy system. In Finland, cross-disciplinary innovation that combines energy knowledge with “soft” skills will drive future change. In addi-tion to a courageous vision, investments into demonstrations can manifest the potential of future solutions, driven by ecological values and teamwork. Unpredictability in the political environment was identified as a barrier to the emerging vision. Political leadership and long-term visionary thinking could help overcome this. Should change not happen from within, external ecological or economic shocks to our present systems may expedite solutions driving the third industrial revolution and a neo-growth society. Awaiting for the world to change could, however, signify the loss of momentum. The opportunities provided by neo-carbon are there to be grasped proactively. The project work will continue based on these findings and invites fu-ture collaborators for this emerging vision.
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