G5 Article dissertation
Essays on non-search unemployment and monetary policy
Authors: Vähämaa Oskari
Publisher: University of Turku
Publishing place: Turku
Publication year: 2018
ISBN: 978-951-29-7280-7
eISBN: 978-951-29-7280-7
Web address : http://urn.fi/URN:ISBN:978-951-29-7281-4
Self-archived copy’s web address: http://urn.fi/URN:ISBN:978-951-29-7281-4
This doctoral dissertation explores the role that institutions and policies can have
in shaping aggregate economic outcomes. The thesis is comprised of an introductory
chapter and three independent essays. All essays set up a clear structure
that specifies how economic agents react to a changing environment. That is,
each essay builds on the general equilibrium modeling of Macroeconomics.
The first essay examines the equilibrium effects of occupational human capital
protection during mass layoffs in a setup where human capital can depreciate
during unemployment spells and commitment problems prevent markets
from allocating layoffs optimally. As the consequences of the policy are tightly
related to occupational mobility, the paper focuses on modeling reallocation
incentives of heterogeneous workers. In a calibrated model, a policy that concentrates
involuntary unemployment incidences to inexperienced workers, decreases
workers’ incentives to reallocate, compared to an equilibrium where
everyone faces an identical unemployment risk, leading also to a decrease in
aggregate unemployment. Moreover, this policy change increases the market
output and on average does not harm the inexperienced workers.
The second essay explores the effects of unionization in an island model of
Lucas and Prescott (1974) with different union structures. When a model with
competitive labor markets is set to match the empirical fact that a large number
of unemployment spells ends with recalls, an introduction of a large labor
union, that represents all workers and sets a common economy-wide minimum
wage, increases unemployment substantially. Moreover, the whole increase
is about non-search unemployment as search unemployment actually reduces
marginally. If the same degree of unionization is generated by a continuum of
small unions, the aggregate unemployment reaction is somewhat smaller. However,
the increase in non-search unemployment is still considerable. The workings
of a large union are also explored when the union is assumed to bargain
over the minimum wage with an employers’ organization. This environment
leads to a considerably lower increase in aggregate unemployment. Yet again,
the search intensity of unemployed workers drops significantly.
In the third essay we show that the cancellation of income and substitution
effect implied by King-Plosser-Rebelo (1988) preferences breaks tight coeff-
cient restriction between the slope of the Phillips curve and the elasticity of consumption
with respect to real interest rate in a sticky price macro model. This
facilitates the estimation of intertemporal elasticity of substitution using full information
Bayesian Maximum Likelihood techniques within a structural model. The US data from the period 1984–2007 supports low intertemporal elasticity of
substitution and strongly rejects a logarithmic and an additively separable utility
specification commonly applied in the New Keynesian literature.