A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal
Chasing Black Swans through Science Fiction – Surprising Future Events in the Stories of a Finnish Writing Competition
Subtitle: Surprising Future Events in the Stories of a Finnish Writing Competition
Authors: Toni Ahlqvist, Tuomo Uotila, Olli Hietanen
Publisher: Flora C. I. Chang Tankang University
Publication year: 2015
Journal:Journal of Futures Studies: Epistemology, Methods, Applied and Alternative Futures
Journal acronym: JFS
Article number: A47
Volume: 20
Issue: 2
First page : 47
Last page: 66
Number of pages: 20
ISSN: 1027-6084
eISSN: 1027-6084
DOI: https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.2015.20(2).A47
Web address : http://www.airitilibrary.com/Publication/alDetailedMesh?DocID=10276084-201512-201512310025-201512310025-47-65
In the paper we analyse the notion of ‘black swan’ as popularised by Taleb (2007). We
propose that in the context of the futures’ imagination, a black swan can be defined as hybrid
that integrates local knowledge with multiple temporal scales, combining past, present and
future tenses. As empirical material, we analyse the short stories from a writing contest held
by the Finnish Parliament’s Committee for the Future. The material contains 132 short stories.
The analysis gives intriguing insights into how Finnish people – from different locales,
of different ages and with differing educational and professional backgrounds – imagine different futures.