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Scenario-based traffic forecasts for routes between the PENTA ports in 2020.
Tekijät: Lappalainen Anssi
- Kustantaja: Turun yliopisto
Julkaisuvuosi: 2013
ISBN: 978-951-29-5345-5
eISBN: 978-951-29-5346-2
Verkko-osoite: http://thdb.cb-smartcomp.eu/content/scenario-based-traffic-forecasts-routes-between-penta-ports-2020
Tiivistelmä
Maritime transport is the foundation for trade in the Baltic Sea area. It represents over
15% of the world’s cargo traffic and it is predicted to increase by over 100% in the
future. There are currently over 2,000 ships sailing on the Baltic Sea and both the
number and the size of ships have been growing in recent years. Due to the importance
of maritime traffic in the Baltic Sea Region, ports have to be ready to face future
challenges and adapt to the changing operational environment.
The companies within the transportation industry – in this context ports, shipowners and
logistics companies – compete continuously and although the number of companies in
the business is not particularly substantial because the products offered are very similar,
other motives for managing the supply chain arise. The factors creating competitive
advantage are often financial and related to cost efficiency, but geographical location,
road infrastructure in the hinterland and vessel connections are among the most
important factors. The PENTA project focuses on adding openness, transparency and
sharing knowledge and information, so that the challenges of the future can be better
addressed with regard to cooperation.
This report presents three scenario-based traffic forecasts for routes between the
PENTA ports in 2020. The chosen methodology is PESTE, in which the focus in on
economic factors affecting future traffic flows. The report further analyses the findings
and results of the first PENTA WP2 report “Drivers of demand in cargo and passenger
traffic between PENTA ports” and utilises the same material, which was obtained
through interviews and mail surveys.
Maritime transport is the foundation for trade in the Baltic Sea area. It represents over
15% of the world’s cargo traffic and it is predicted to increase by over 100% in the
future. There are currently over 2,000 ships sailing on the Baltic Sea and both the
number and the size of ships have been growing in recent years. Due to the importance
of maritime traffic in the Baltic Sea Region, ports have to be ready to face future
challenges and adapt to the changing operational environment.
The companies within the transportation industry – in this context ports, shipowners and
logistics companies – compete continuously and although the number of companies in
the business is not particularly substantial because the products offered are very similar,
other motives for managing the supply chain arise. The factors creating competitive
advantage are often financial and related to cost efficiency, but geographical location,
road infrastructure in the hinterland and vessel connections are among the most
important factors. The PENTA project focuses on adding openness, transparency and
sharing knowledge and information, so that the challenges of the future can be better
addressed with regard to cooperation.
This report presents three scenario-based traffic forecasts for routes between the
PENTA ports in 2020. The chosen methodology is PESTE, in which the focus in on
economic factors affecting future traffic flows. The report further analyses the findings
and results of the first PENTA WP2 report “Drivers of demand in cargo and passenger
traffic between PENTA ports” and utilises the same material, which was obtained
through interviews and mail surveys.
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