O2 Muu julkaisu
Complex energy futures. The use of Express Cross-Impact Technique (EXIT) with participatory expert workshops to analyse complex systems and interactions
(Esitys International Conference on Advances on Clean Energy Research -konferenssissa, Bangkok 16.-18.4. 2016)
Tekijät: Juha Panula-Ontto, Jyrki Luukkanen, Jari Kaivo-oja, Yrjö Majanne, Jarmo Vehmas
Konferenssin vakiintunut nimi: International Conference on Advances on Clean Energy Research
Julkaisuvuosi: 2016
Rinnakkaistallenteen osoite: https://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/18145173
The article presents a new Express Cross-Impact Technique (EXIT) which is suitable for the use in expert workshops for collecting data input and presenting the results. The new cross-impact method calculates the interactions of variables through multi-nodal impact chains. The method makes it possible to compare the original cross-impact matrix, where the direct impacts are presented, with the modified cross-impact matrix, where the interactions of the variables are taken into account. An example of electricity system with increased amount of intermittent wind and solar power supply is presented.
Ladattava julkaisu This is an electronic reprint of the original article. |