A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

Predicting Visit Cost of Obstructive Sleep Apnea Using Electronic Healthcare Records With Transformer




AuthorsChen Zhaoyang, Siltala-Li Lina, Lassila Mikko, Malo Pekka, Vilkkumaa Eeva, Saaresranta Tarja, Virkki Arho Veli

PublisherIEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC

Publication year2023

JournalIEEE Journal of Translational Engineering in Health and Medicine

Journal name in sourceIEEE JOURNAL OF TRANSLATIONAL ENGINEERING IN HEALTH AND MEDICINE

Journal acronymIEEE J TRANSL ENG HE

Volume11

First page 306

Last page317

Number of pages12

ISSN2168-2372

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1109/JTEHM.2023.3276943(external)

Web address https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10128115(external)

Self-archived copy’s web addresshttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/179837558(external)


Abstract

Background: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is growing increasingly prevalent in many countries as obesity rises. Sufficient, effective treatment of OSA entails high social and financial costs for healthcare.

Objective: For treatment purposes, predicting OSA patients' visit expenses for the coming year is crucial. Reliable estimates enable healthcare decision-makers to perform careful fiscal management and budget well for effective distribution of resources to hospitals. The challenges created by scarcity of high-quality patient data are exacerbated by the fact that just a third of those data from OSA patients can be used to train analytics models: only OSA patients with more than 365 days of follow-up are relevant for predicting a year's expenditures.

Methods and procedures: The authors propose a translational engineering method applying two Transformer models, one for augmenting the input via data from shorter visit histories and the other predicting the costs by considering both the material thus enriched and cases with more than a year's follow-up. This method effectively adapts state-of-the-art Transformer models to create practical cost prediction solutions that can be implemented in OSA management, potentially enhancing patient care and resource allocation.

Results: The two-model solution permits putting the limited body of OSA patient data to productive use. Relative to a single-Transformer solution using only a third of the high-quality patient data, the solution with two models improved the prediction performance's R-2 from 88.8% to 97.5%. Even using baseline models with the model-augmented data improved the R-2 considerably, from 61.6% to 81.9%.

Conclusion: The proposed method makes prediction with the most of the available high-quality data by carefully exploiting details, which are not directly relevant for answering the question of the next year's likely expenditure.

Clinical and Translational Impact Statement: Public Health- Lack of high-quality source data hinders data-driven analytics-based research in healthcare. The paper presents a method that couples data augmentation and prediction in cases of scant healthcare data.


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Last updated on 2024-26-11 at 12:35