Hesiod, Hypnos, Foresight and Anticipation
: Kaivo-oja Jari
Publisher: University of Turku
: Turku
: 2023
: Tulevaisuuden tutkimuskeskuksen blogi
: 17.4.2023
: https://ffrc.wordpress.com/2023/04/17/hesiod-hypnos-foresight-and-anticipation/
To summarize, anticipation is about predicting a specific outcome and taking action to prepare for it, while foresight involves a more comprehensive and strategic approach to planning for the future, considering multiple possibilities and their potential consequences. Hopefully, our bright and dark journeys in the Hypnos world will lead us to think about many alternatives, even surprising options, wild card scenarios, and not business-as-usual alternatives.
Unfortunately, Business-As-Usual (BAU) scenarios often dominate siloed and highly theoretical and siloed anticipation studies. It is good to be aware that whenever we abandon the use of many perspectives in the context of future-oriented research, we do not make use of holistic thinking and end up with siloed reductionist studies.
The most low-quality foresight research is to present the BAU scenario and almost identical other scenarios as supposedly alternative scenarios. I have noticed these kinds of problematic methodological issues in the context of several foresight studies.