A1 Vertaisarvioitu alkuperäisartikkeli tieteellisessä lehdessä

Ebola epidemic model with dynamic population and memory




TekijätNdaïrou Faïçal, Khalighi Moein, Lahti Leo

KustantajaElsevier Ltd

Julkaisuvuosi2023

JournalChaos, Solitons and Fractals

Tietokannassa oleva lehden nimiChaos, Solitons and Fractals

Artikkelin numero113361

Vuosikerta170

eISSN1873-2887

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2023.113361

Verkko-osoitehttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2023.113361

Rinnakkaistallenteen osoitehttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/179183435


Tiivistelmä

The recent outbreaks of Ebola encourage researchers to develop mathematical models for simulating the dynamics of Ebola transmission. We continue the study of the models focusing on those with a variable population. Hence, this paper presents a compartmental model consisting of 8-dimensional nonlinear differential equations with a dynamic population and investigates its basic reproduction number. Moreover, a dimensionless model is introduced for numerical analysis, thus proving the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable whenever the threshold condition, known as a basic reproduction number, is less than one. Finally, we use a fractional differential form of the model to sufficiently fit long time-series data of Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone retrieved from the World Health Organization, and the numerical results demonstrate the performance of the model.


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Last updated on 2025-27-03 at 21:53