A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

Electoral risk and vote buying, introducing prospect theory to the experimental study of clientelism




AuthorsBahamonde Hector, Canales Andrea

PublisherElsevier

Publication year2022

JournalElectoral Studies

Article number102497

Volume80

eISSN1873-6890

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2022.102497

Web address https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2022.102497

Self-archived copy’s web addresshttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/176838441


Abstract

Most traditional theories of clientelism assert that parties in need of securing electoral support invest in vote buying. We consider this framework limited because of two reasons. First, it assumes that losses and gains affect a party’s decision-making process in comparable ways. Second, the framework assumes that the decision-making process of clientelist political parties focuses only on absolute levels of utility while overlooking changes in outcomes with respect to a reference point. By proposing a shift from gains to a one focused on losses, we hypothesize that parties are risk-averse in the domain of gains and risk-seeking in the domain of losses—i.e., losing an election hurts more than winning an election pleases. Unlike traditional theories of clientelism, we argue that clientelist political parties buy more votes when they are winning an election or have experienced important losses in the past. We designed an economic experiment based on traditional theories of voting and vote buying. Exploiting these novel experimental data, we show that prospect theory bridges important unexplained gaps in the literature.


Downloadable publication

This is an electronic reprint of the original article.
This reprint may differ from the original in pagination and typographic detail. Please cite the original version.





Last updated on 2024-26-11 at 23:30