Quantitative Tools and Simultaneous Actions Needed for Species Conservation under Climate Change – Reply to Shoo et al. (2013)
: Reply to Shoo et al. (2013)
: Marko Ahteensuu, Sami Aikio, Pedro Cardoso, Marko Hyvärinen, Maria Hällfors, Susanna Lehvävirta, Leif Schulman, Elina Vaara
Publisher: Springer
: 2015
: Climatic Change
: 129
: 1
: 1
: 7
: 7
: 0165-0009
: 0165-0009
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1311-0(external)
We identify four issues in the decision framework for species conservation management under climate change proposed by Shoo et al. (2013) Clim Chan 119:239–246 and suggest ways to address them. First, binary-decision flow charts require Yes/No answers, which are not appropriate in most conservation decisions. A quantitative framework is preferable and action-guidance should be obtained even when the realistic answer to some questions remains “we simply do not know”. Second, the proposed flow chart imposes an a priori order of precedence and does not explicitly allow simultaneous actions. A workable framework should enable optimal allocation between multiple kinds of conservation efforts and permit complementary actions. Third, the probability of success, co-benefit to non-target species, and cost are unlikely to have a simple, consistent relationship across taxa. These variables need to be assessed case-by-case for each conservation measure and species. Finally, the decision frame- work disregards the legal, social, and ethical aspects pertaining to decision-making.