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Estimating the optimal age for infant measles vaccination




TekijätGoult, Elizabeth; Barrero Guevara, Laura Andrea; Briga, Michael; de Cellès, Matthieu Domenech

KustantajaSpringer Science and Business Media LLC

Julkaisuvuosi2024

JournalNature Communications

Tietokannassa oleva lehden nimiNature Communications

Lehden akronyymiNat Commun

Artikkelin numero9919

Vuosikerta15

eISSN2041-1723

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-53415-x

Verkko-osoitehttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-53415-x

Rinnakkaistallenteen osoitehttps://research.utu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/470969615

LisätietojaCorrection to this article: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-59082-w ; DOI: 110.1038/s41467-025-59082-w


Tiivistelmä
The persistence of measles in many countries demonstrates large immunity gaps, resulting from incomplete or ineffective immunization with measles-containing vaccines (MCVs). MCV impact is determined, in part, by vaccination age. Infants who receive dose 1 (MCV1) at older ages have a reduced risk of vaccine failure, but also an increased risk of contracting infection before vaccination. Here, we designed a new method-based on a mathematical transmission model incorporating realistic vaccination delays and age variations in MCV1 effectiveness-to capture the MCV1 age risk trade-off and estimate the optimal age for recommending MCV1. We applied this method to a range of synthetic populations representing lower- and higher-income populations. We predict a large heterogeneity in the optimal MCV1 ages (range: 6-20 months), contrasting the homogeneity of observed recommendations worldwide. Furthermore, we show that the optimal age depends on the local epidemiology of measles, with a lower optimal age predicted in populations having lower vaccination coverage or suffering higher transmission. Overall, our results suggest the scope for public health authorities to tailor the recommended schedule for better measles control.

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Julkaisussa olevat rahoitustiedot
Open Access funding enabled and organized by Projekt DEAL.


Last updated on 2025-28-05 at 13:36