A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal
Chasing black swans through science fiction: surprising future events in the stories of a Finnish writing competition
Authors: Toni Ahlqvist, Tuomo Uotila, Olli Hietanen
Publisher: Tamkang University
Publication year: 2015
Journal: Journal of Futures Studies: Epistemology, Methods, Applied and Alternative Futures
Volume: 20
Issue: 2
First page : 47
Last page: 66
Number of pages: 20
ISSN: 1027-6084
DOI: https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.2015.20(2).A47
In the paper we analyse the notion of ‘black swan’ as popularised by Taleb (2007). We propose that in the context of the futures’ imagination, a black swan can be defined as hybrid that integrates local knowledge with multiple temporal scales, combining past, present and future tenses. As empirical material, we analyse the short stories from a writing contest held by the Finnish Parliament’s Committee for the Future. The material contains 132 short stories. The analysis gives intriguing insights into how Finnish people – from different locales, of different ages and with differing educational and professional backgrounds – imagine different futures.